Based on the latest EPA data.
Following its reveal at the 2019 LA Auto Show, the 2021 Ford Mustang Mach-E is almost upon us. Some production rumors suggest that deliveries could begin just in time for the holidays. The first-ever electric model to wear the Mustang name has a lot riding on it, and thus far, Ford hasn't disappointed. In fact, Ford already reduced the Mach-E's price by up to $3,000 before the car even reaches dealerships.
Sadly, we may have a bit of bad news about the Mach-E just before it finally arrives in customers' hands. A member of the Mach-E Forums has spotted certificate summary information for the Mach-E on the EPA website. If this information is accurate, the range listed on the window sticker might be lower than expected.
Ford will offer the Mach-E with either a standard or extended range battery, the latter of which significantly improves the electric driving range. The EPA documents give information about the extended range battery in both rear-wheel-drive and all-wheel-drive configurations based on the organization's SAE J1634 Multi-Cycle Test (MCT). The Mach-E achieves 338.9 miles of unadjusted range with AWD and 411.5 miles with RWD based on the MCT data.
But don't go digging Tesla's grave just yet because those numbers are not what the EPA will put on the window sticker. After doing some complicated EV math, the forum member predicts that the Mach-E will have range ratings of 250 miles with AWD or 288 miles with AWD.
As a reminder, up until now, Ford has only provided EPA estimates when quoting Mach-E range. If you look at Ford's website, it lists the Mach-E's extended range battery at 270 miles with AWD and 300 miles with RWD, figures that fall shy of these new predictions. This isn't the first time we've seen an EV get lower EPA ratings than projected, as Porsche also death with similar issues when the Taycan first came to the US.
Just as a reminder, there is still a chance that the official numbers are better than what this forum member found. In fact, Ford provided a statement to CarBuzz:
"The EPA-estimated driving range ratings for all 2021 Mustang Mach-E configurations are expected to be available by the end of 2020. The Mach-E driving range numbers initially reported were for zero-emissions vehicle certification and do not represent final EPA-estimated range capability. When EPA-estimated ratings are released, we expect them to align with the driving range targets we set. We will have more to share later this month."